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How many copies did Haven Park sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–45k
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Haven Park and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Haven Park's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–35k
best case 197k (Railroads Online)
Games like Haven Park

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–35k copies

≈ $280k–$366k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Management (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Railroads Online at ≈ 150k–244k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 586 reviews in their first month; the range was 242 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with God Game + Colony Sim, priced around $25.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.