How much revenue did APICO make?

$279k–$751k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did APICO sell?

Q: How many copies did APICO sell?

51k to 83k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 51k–83k; $279k–$751k after Steam's cut $508k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid APICO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including APICO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.3M

best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)

Games like APICO

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.3M copies

≈ $11.2M–$17.6M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Management (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Grand Strategy, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
X4: Foundations 2018	Est. copies ≈ 920k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSimulation
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 7.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Euro Truck Simulator 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 59.7M–97.0M 31x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	944k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DrivingTransportation
Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	ManagementDiplomacy
Slime Rancher 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	158k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteExploration