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How many copies did 10 Dead Doves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $85k–$194k before Steam's cut
from 275 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 10 Dead Doves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 10 Dead Doves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 462k–662k
best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)
Games like 10 Dead Doves

A typical game among these

≈ 462k–662k copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.6M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Dark + Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter
2014
Est. copies
≈ 503k–818k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryAtmospheric
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Call of Cthulhu®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 424k–690k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
LovecraftianHorror
Oxenfree
2016
Est. copies
≈ 504k–820k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Call of the Sea
2020
Est. copies
≈ 159k–259k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$875k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Still Wakes the Deep
2024
Est. copies
≈ 328k–533k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$34.99
13k reviews
Very Positive

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