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How many copies did Neon Souls sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon Souls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon Souls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–56k
best case 55k (420BLAZEIT 2: GAME OF THE YEAR -=Dank Dreams and Goated Memes=- [#wow/11 Like and Subscribe] Poggerz Edition)
Games like Neon Souls

A typical game among these

≈ 52k–56k copies

≈ $160k–$304k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Surreal (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 420BLAZEIT 2: GAME OF THE YEAR -=Dank Dreams and Goated Memes=- [#wow/11 Like and Subscribe] Poggerz Edition at ≈ 42k–68k copies, ≈ $126k–$340k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 742.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Surreal (4 of 8) and Psychedelic (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Satire + FPS, priced around $11.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Color Souls
2021
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$987–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
29 reviews
Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
//N.P.P.D. RUSH//- The milk of Ultraviolet
2014
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$196k before Steam's cut
$3.99
771 reviews
Mostly Negative
IndieBullet Hell
Ilamentia
2014
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$2.99
103 reviews
Mixed
PuzzleIndie
TEOCIDA
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$9.99
149 reviews
Very Positive
GothicDemons
Ritual: Crown of Horns
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$19.99
73 reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-Down ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
YIIK: A Postmodern RPG
2019
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$203k–$547k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Xross Dreams
2022
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$14.99
24 reviews
Mixed
ActionStrategy
420BLAZEIT 2: GAME OF THE YEAR -=Dank Dreams and Goated Memes=- [#wow/11 Like and Subscribe] Poggerz Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$126k–$340k after Steam's cut $230k–$523k before Steam's cut
$10.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SatireAction

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