How much revenue did Not Tonight 2 make?

$66k–$178k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Not Tonight 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Not Tonight 2 sell?

12k to 20k copies, based on its 486 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12k–20k; $66k–$178k after Steam's cut $120k–$274k before Steam's cut; from 486 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Not Tonight 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Not Tonight 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.7M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Not Tonight 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.7M copies

≈ $9.0M–$24.5M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 64k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Life Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Multiplayer + Agriculture; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	45k reviews Very Positive	CraftingSingleplayer
MiSide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	143k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological HorrorCute
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 23x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Chinese Parents 2018	Est. copies ≈ 823k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Life SimPsychological Horror
My Time at Portia 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	44k reviews Very Positive	Life SimRPG
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
The Sims™ 3 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	34k reviews Very Positive	Life SimSimulation