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How many copies did The Dream is Coming... sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$387–$1k after Steam's cut $704–$2k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Dream is Coming... and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dream is Coming...'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 784k–1.6M
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like The Dream is Coming...

A typical game among these

≈ 784k–1.6M copies

≈ $7.2M–$22.3M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and JRPG (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Hyperdimension Neptunia Re;Birth1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 599k–973k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet
2018
Est. copies
≈ 593k–963k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeRPG
Valkyria Chronicles™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 746k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStrategy
Tales of ARISE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Persona® 5 Strikers
2021
Est. copies
≈ 455k–740k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeHack and Slash

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