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How many copies did Doomed Lands sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 65 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Doomed Lands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Doomed Lands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 582k–953k
best case 29.7M (Don't Starve Together)
Games like Doomed Lands

A typical game among these

≈ 582k–953k copies

≈ $4.2M–$11.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Don't Starve Together at ≈ 22.6M–36.8M copies, ≈ $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (6 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Crafting + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Don't Starve
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
114k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
Kingdom: New Lands
2016
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Darkwood
2017
Est. copies
≈ 861k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Dome Keeper
2022
Est. copies
≈ 558k–906k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
We Happy Few
2018
Est. copies
≈ 419k–681k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureOpen World

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