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How many copies did Black One Blood Brothers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–60k
$182k–$489k after Steam's cut $331k–$752k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black One Blood Brothers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black One Blood Brothers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–5.3M
best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)
Games like Black One Blood Brothers

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–5.3M copies

≈ $46.1M–$69.8M after Steam's cut

from ~125k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 47k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 57k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Military (7 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Military, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Insurgency
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.3M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
World of Tanks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Ravenfield
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSWar
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic
Insurgency: Sandstorm
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.4M–$89.9M after Steam's cut $60.8M–$138.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II

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