How much revenue did Doors: Paradox make?

$218k–$586k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Doors: Paradox sell?

Q: How many copies did Doors: Paradox sell?

53k to 86k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 53k–86k; $218k–$586k after Steam's cut $396k–$902k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Doors: Paradox and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Doors: Paradox's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.4M

best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)

Games like Doors: Paradox

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.4M copies

≈ $6.0M–$22.0M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Multiple Endings (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
OneShot 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	65k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveMystery