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How many copies did F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 602k–979k
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–11.7M
best case 12.1M (DOOM)
Games like F.E.A.R. 2: Project Origin

A typical game among these

≈ 5.6M–11.7M copies

≈ $61.5M–$81.8M after Steam's cut

from ~147k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DOOM at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (8 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Gore, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wolfenstein: The New Order
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.7M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
Blood and Bacon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$415k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $754k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$0.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreFunny
Depth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$42.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterMultiplayer

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