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How many copies did Hero's Hour sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 143k–232k
$706k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hero's Hour and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hero's Hour's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 729k–1.2M
best case 6.5M (Balatro)
Games like Hero's Hour

A typical game among these

≈ 729k–1.2M copies

≈ $5.3M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder + Replay Value; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wandering Sword
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 613k–996k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Peglin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG

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