How much revenue did TFC: The Fertile Crescent make?

$30k–$81k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TFC: The Fertile Crescent sell?

Q: How many copies did TFC: The Fertile Crescent sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 402 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut; from 402 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TFC: The Fertile Crescent and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TFC: The Fertile Crescent's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 89k–774k

best case 3.1M (Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition)

Games like TFC: The Fertile Crescent

A typical game among these

≈ 89k–774k copies

≈ $376k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies, ≈ $26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 180 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RTS (5 of 8) and City Builder (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with RTS + Base-Building, priced around $40.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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From Glory To Goo 2024	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$622k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 592k–963k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	Family FriendlyLevel Editor
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 30x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Warlords Under Siege 2025	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut	$9.99	482 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeAction RTS
Medieval Kingdom Wars 2019	Est. copies ≈ 75k–122k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $310k–$834k after Steam's cut $564k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Grand StrategyRTS
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The Lost Village 2024	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $257k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$11.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management
Thronefall 2024	Est. copies ≈ 589k–957k 7.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut	$12.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy