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How many copies did Medieval Kingdom Wars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 75k–122k
$310k–$834k after Steam's cut $564k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Medieval Kingdom Wars and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Medieval Kingdom Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–6.0M
best case 11.1M (Europa Universalis IV)
Games like Medieval Kingdom Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–6.0M copies

≈ $23.4M–$65.3M after Steam's cut

from ~71k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Europa Universalis IV at ≈ 8.5M–13.8M copies, ≈ $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 6) and Historical (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Historical, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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