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How many copies did Fear Therapy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 118k–191k
$161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$667k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fear Therapy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fear Therapy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26.6M–52.6M
best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Fear Therapy

A typical game among these

≈ 26.6M–52.6M copies

≈ $121.7M–$379.0M after Steam's cut

from ~889k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
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Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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DifficultMusic
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
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HorrorOnline Co-Op
Stardew Valley
2016
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≈ 43.5M–70.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
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Very Positive
FPSPvP
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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2020
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≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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