How much revenue did Deadwater Saloon make?

$29k–$77k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Deadwater Saloon sell?

Q: How many copies did Deadwater Saloon sell?

5k to 9k copies, based on its 211 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–9k; $29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$119k before Steam's cut; from 211 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deadwater Saloon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deadwater Saloon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–4.8M

best case 10.4M (Schedule I)

Games like Deadwater Saloon

A typical game among these

≈ 3.7M–4.8M copies

≈ $43.2M–$57.1M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Schedule I at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies, ≈ $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Management, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Crime + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation
Planet Zoo 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut	$44.99	98k reviews Very Positive	Management Simulation
House Flipper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	112k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDesign & Illustration
Prison Architect 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Dyson Sphere Program 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationSpace
Fallout Shelter 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	83k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBase-Building
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building