How much revenue did Atomic Cards make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Atomic Cards sell?

Q: How many copies did Atomic Cards sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 45 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 45 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Atomic Cards and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Atomic Cards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–31.1M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like Atomic Cards

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–31.1M copies

≈ $75k–$205.3M after Steam's cut

from ~273k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 259.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Crafting (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Thea 2: The Shattering 2019	Est. copies ≈ 62k–101k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyRPG
WitchHand 2024	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$215k before Steam's cut	$11.99	636 reviews Very Positive	StrategyManagement
Castaway Station 2023	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	17 reviews Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Paper Kingdom 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut	$12.99	66 reviews Mixed	Early AccessCard Game