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How big is Hats Are Not Allowed?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 967–2k
from 39 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hats Are Not Allowed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hats Are Not Allowed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–25k
best case 67k (First Cut: Samurai Duel)
Games like Hats Are Not Allowed

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–25k copies

≈ $9k–$107k after Steam's cut

from ~514 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: First Cut: Samurai Duel at ≈ 51k–84k copies, ≈ $127k–$342k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 530.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (7 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Hack and Slash, priced around $9.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

First Cut: Samurai Duel
2024
Est. copies
≈ 51k–84k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerHack and Slash
Stardust Vanguards
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$3.99
120 reviews
Mostly Positive
4 Player Local2D Fighter
Shing!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$273k before Steam's cut
$19.99
484 reviews
Mostly Positive
Beat 'em upSide Scroller
Swords and Sandals 2 Redux
2017
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before Steam's cut
$9.99
584 reviews
Mostly Positive
2D FighterTurn-Based Combat
Bleak Sword DX
2023
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$199k before Steam's cut
$9.99
705 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeHack and Slash
Armed with Wings: Rearmed
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$9.99
543 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Skull Head World
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$676 before Steam's cut
$3.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ActionArcade
End of Knights
2023
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
26 reviews
Positive
Hack and SlashDifficult

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