How much revenue did Stardust Vanguards make?

$6k–$17k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Stardust Vanguards sell?

Q: How many copies did Stardust Vanguards sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 120 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut; from 120 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stardust Vanguards and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stardust Vanguards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 311k–2.7M

best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)

Games like Stardust Vanguards

A typical game among these

≈ 311k–2.7M copies

≈ $2.2M–$7.3M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Fighter (8 of 8) and Fighting (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lethal League 2014	Est. copies ≈ 339k–552k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$13.99	6k reviews Very Positive	FightingLocal Multiplayer
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 23x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	413k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Stick Fight: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M 7.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	125k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
SpiderHeck 2022	Est. copies ≈ 160k–260k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $660k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Local MultiplayerPhysics
Rivals of Aether 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Fighting2D Fighter
Rivals of Aether II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 248k–404k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	FightingMultiplayer
Bopl Battle 2023	Est. copies ≈ 643k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Multiplayer4 Player Local
Lethal League Blaze 2018	Est. copies ≈ 204k–331k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionIndie