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How many copies did Spirited Thief sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spirited Thief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spirited Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–6.1M
best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Spirited Thief

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–6.1M copies

≈ $13.1M–$53.6M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (6 of 8) and Heist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Chess Knights: High Noon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
48 reviews
Mixed
Burgle Bros.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$3.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
HeistBoard Game
PAYDAY™ The Heist
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.