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How many copies did Bone's Cafe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$38k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
from 367 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bone's Cafe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bone's Cafe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–17k
best case 35k (Automachef)
Games like Bone's Cafe

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–17k copies

≈ $15k–$75k after Steam's cut

from ~314 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Automachef at ≈ 27k–43k copies, ≈ $110k–$295k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 79 reviews in their first month; the range was 33 to 436.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Automation, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Automachef
2019
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut
$14.99
925 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationIndie
Freshly Frosted
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $46k–$106k before Steam's cut
$9.99
375 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCute
Incremental Town RPG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$3.99
99 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
Recipe for Disaster
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$75k–$200k after Steam's cut $136k–$308k before Steam's cut
$14.99
729 reviews
Mostly Positive
CookingManagement
Another Farm Roguelike
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$2.99
473 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFarming Sim
Moonshine Inc.
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$19.99
214 reviews
Mixed
Immersive SimBuilding
Land Of Idyllic Beauty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$56k after Steam's cut $38k–$86k before Steam's cut
$11.99
253 reviews
Very Positive
Early Access2D Platformer
Island Idle RPG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$2.99
99 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.