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How many copies did Smushi Come Home sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–113k
$383k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $696k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smushi Come Home and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smushi Come Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 341k–786k
best case 3.7M (Planet Zoo)
Games like Smushi Come Home

A typical game among these

≈ 341k–786k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Planet Zoo at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 837 reviews in their first month; the range was 399 to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (3 of 8) and Building (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Management + Economy + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
A Short Hike
2019
Est. copies
≈ 661k–1.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$7.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationRelaxing
Townscaper
2021
Est. copies
≈ 537k–872k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$5.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExperimentalBuilding
Refunct
2015
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$2.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
Viridi
2015
Est. copies
≈ 471k–766k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayRelaxing
Alba: A Wildlife Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 208k–339k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$974k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualWholesome
Carto
2020
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieCute

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.