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How many copies did No More Heroes 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
$298k–$802k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid No More Heroes 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including No More Heroes 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 631k–2.1M
best case 1.9M (Chivalry 2)
Games like No More Heroes 3

A typical game among these

≈ 631k–2.1M copies

≈ $6.0M–$27.8M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Chivalry 2 at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $16.2M–$43.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 370 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (8 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Swordplay + Medieval, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shadow Warrior
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut $25.4M–$57.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Bayonetta
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Eruption 爆发
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
38 reviews
Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
Chivalry 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.4M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
59k reviews
Mostly Positive
SwordplayMedieval
No More Heroes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionComedy
DmC: Devil May Cry
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.3M–$46.4M after Steam's cut $31.4M–$71.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHack and Slash
No More Heroes 2: Desperate Struggle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$169k–$453k after Steam's cut $306k–$697k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionComedy

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