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How many copies did Nodrog's Fortress sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nodrog's Fortress and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nodrog's Fortress's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–34k
best case 159k (Low Magic Age)
Games like Nodrog's Fortress

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–34k copies

≈ $59k–$273k after Steam's cut

from ~776 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Low Magic Age at ≈ 121k–197k copies, ≈ $500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 169 reviews in their first month; the range was 40 to 348.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Tactical RPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $15.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.