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How many copies did Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$157k–$422k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before Steam's cut
from 768 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 106k–234k
best case 427k (Across the Obelisk)
Games like Abalon: Roguelike Tactics CCG

A typical game among these

≈ 106k–234k copies

≈ $669k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Across the Obelisk at ≈ 326k–529k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Roguelike Deckbuilder (7 of 8) and Card Battler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Fantasy, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Rogue-likeStrategy
Trials of Fire
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Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy

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