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How many copies did Astride sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–20k
$87k–$233k after Steam's cut $157k–$358k before Steam's cut
from 508 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astride and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astride's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 69k–1.1M
best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)
Games like Astride

A typical game among these

≈ 69k–1.1M copies

≈ $618k–$10.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Medieval (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 288 to 200k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Medieval (4 of 8) and Agriculture (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
78x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Farm Together
2018
Est. copies
≈ 672k–1.1M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
AgricultureMultiplayer
Farmer's Life
2023
Est. copies
≈ 69k–113k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $692k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3DFarming
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Tales Of Glory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut
$10.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionVR
Depraved
2019
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$199k–$534k after Steam's cut $361k–$821k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
DEEEER Simulator: Your Average Everyday Deer Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 120k–194k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$493k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $896k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox
The Ranch of Rivershine
2025
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$476k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $866k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationHorses

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