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How many copies did NORR part II: Will Walker sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$245–$660 after Steam's cut $446–$1k before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NORR part II: Will Walker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NORR part II: Will Walker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 314k–700k
best case 5.3M (Max Payne 3)
Games like NORR part II: Will Walker

A typical game among these

≈ 314k–700k copies

≈ $419k–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Max Payne 3 at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Bullet Time, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.5x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.