How much revenue did Cat Box Paradox make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cat Box Paradox sell?

Q: How many copies did Cat Box Paradox sell?

992 to 2k copies, based on its 40 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 992–2k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cat Box Paradox and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cat Box Paradox's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 189k–1.5M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Cat Box Paradox

A typical game among these

≈ 189k–1.5M copies

≈ $703k–$10.3M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Super Meat Boy 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
Downwell 2015	Est. copies ≈ 421k–685k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$2.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
The End Is Nigh 2017	Est. copies ≈ 121k–197k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $909k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
Leap Year 2024	Est. copies ≈ 80k–129k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationPrecision Platformer
Deepest Sword 2021	Est. copies ≈ 271k–441k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
VVVVVV 2010	Est. copies ≈ 667k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Dustforce DX 2012	Est. copies ≈ 151k–246k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $415k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $755k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer