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How many copies did Spellpowder: Uprising sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spellpowder: Uprising and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spellpowder: Uprising's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 321k–517k
best case 765k (XCOM®: Chimera Squad)
Games like Spellpowder: Uprising

A typical game among these

≈ 321k–517k copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: XCOM®: Chimera Squad at ≈ 582k–947k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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XCOM®: Chimera Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 582k–947k
1.8x vs typical
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Wildermyth
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SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
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≈ 303k–492k
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Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.