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How many copies did BOT.vinnik Chess: Mid-Century USSR Championships sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BOT.vinnik Chess: Mid-Century USSR Championships and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BOT.vinnik Chess: Mid-Century USSR Championships's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–248k
best case 1.4M (FPS Chess)
Games like BOT.vinnik Chess: Mid-Century USSR Championships

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–248k copies

≈ $34k–$410k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FPS Chess at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 144 reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (6 of 8) and Chess (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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ChessBoard Game
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
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FPSPvP
Dark Chess
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ChessStrategy
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≈ 223k–362k
6.8x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Chessarama
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≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
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182 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCasual
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
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323 reviews
Very Positive
ChessPuzzle
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$147k before Steam's cut
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209 reviews
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Early AccessAction
Chess Ultra
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyChess

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