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How many copies did Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
from 168 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–76k
best case 84k (Touhou Blooming Chaos 2)
Games like Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–76k copies

≈ $194k–$857k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Blooming Chaos 2 at ≈ 64k–104k copies, ≈ $106k–$285k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 258 reviews in their first month; the range was 141 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Faith + Bullet Hell, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Endless Dream
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAnime
Touhou Genso Wanderer -FORESIGHT-
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before Steam's cut
$34.99
310 reviews
Mixed
RPGMystery Dungeon
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded-
2018
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $980k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend
2022
Est. copies
≈ 53k–87k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Lotus Labyrinth R-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$85k–$228k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut
$34.99
355 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAdventure
Touhou Blooming Chaos 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$106k–$285k after Steam's cut $193k–$438k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Crimson Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$3.99
382 reviews
Mixed
RPGAction
Black & White
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$76k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$316k before Steam's cut
$14.99
748 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureStrategy

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