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How many copies did DINO MERCS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DINO MERCS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DINO MERCS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 228k–823k
best case 1.2M (Loop Hero)
Games like DINO MERCS

A typical game among these

≈ 228k–823k copies

≈ $2.0M–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Loop Hero at ≈ 907k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Gordian Quest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 150k–244k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RPGCard Game
Shogun Showdown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 176k–286k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Black Book
2021
Est. copies
≈ 168k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Wildfrost
2023
Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDifficult
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite

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