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How many copies did LunaQuest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$110–$291 after Steam's cut $200–$448 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LunaQuest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LunaQuest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 311k–353k
best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)
Games like LunaQuest

A typical game among these

≈ 311k–353k copies

≈ $2.9M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $57. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Adventure + Turn-Based Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2023
Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
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ControllerComedy
Temtem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 975k–1.6M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
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Co-opMultiplayer
Monster Sanctuary
2020
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
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13k reviews
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Creature CollectorPixel Graphics
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 236k–384k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
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MechsTactical RPG
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
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CRPGTactical RPG
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
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Very Positive
StrategyAnime
Banner of the Maid
2019
Est. copies
≈ 241k–391k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy

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