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How many copies did Last Group Out sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–25k
$43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$177k before Steam's cut
from 628 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Group Out and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Group Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 456k–1.4M
best case 5.3M (Tom Clancy’s The Division™)
Games like Last Group Out

A typical game among these

≈ 456k–1.4M copies

≈ $1.6M–$13.5M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy’s The Division™ at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 264 to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Looter Shooter (6 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Looter Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deadside
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
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SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Cycle: Frontier
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Mixed
Extraction ShooterSurvival
Defiance
2014
Est. copies
≈ 706k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayLooter Shooter
Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 906k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Looter ShooterOpen World
ZERO Sievert
2024
Est. copies
≈ 387k–628k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Extraction ShooterSurvival
Alien Shooter 2: Reloaded
2009
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$313k–$842k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AliensLooter Shooter
Tom Clancy’s The Division™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
97k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldLooter Shooter
DeadPoly
2022
Est. copies
≈ 155k–252k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $773k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalZombies

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