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How many copies did SokoWinter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$358–$962 after Steam's cut $650–$1k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SokoWinter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SokoWinter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 16k (Feed All Monsters)
Games like SokoWinter

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~61 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Feed All Monsters at ≈ 12k–20k copies, ≈ $10k–$27k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 99.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Cozy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wholesome + Puzzle, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Wholesome + Casual + Cats; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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ExplorationPuzzle
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SokobanCats
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SokobanPuzzle
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PuzzleGrid-Based Movement
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RelaxingPuzzle
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Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
8.1x vs typical
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PuzzleWholesome
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SokobanPuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.