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How big is Cursed Exped?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 55 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cursed Exped and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cursed Exped's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.5M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Cursed Exped

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.5M copies

≈ $9.6M–$12.9M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Survival + Open World Survival Craft + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ABZU
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingAtmospheric
Gone Home
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
Crime Scene Cleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 858k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationCrime
LEGO® Worlds
2017
Est. copies
≈ 539k–875k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
LEGOOpen World
The Long Dark
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
124k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft

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