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How many copies did Escape Purgatory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Escape Purgatory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Escape Purgatory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.4M
best case 16.5M (Portal)
Games like Escape Purgatory

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–2.4M copies

≈ $11.4M–$28.2M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 724.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Escape Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 482k–783k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Mushroom Agent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19 reviews
Mixed
CasualAdventure
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Antichamber
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Okay, Panic!
2019
Est. copies
≈ 518–842
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
18 reviews
Mostly Negative
ExplorationPuzzle
PePiBo: Peregrino Pinata Bowling
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualSports

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