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How many copies did Colored Effects sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 63 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Colored Effects and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Colored Effects's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 75k–97k
best case 95k (Lightmatter)
Games like Colored Effects

A typical game among these

≈ 75k–97k copies

≈ $91k–$418k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lightmatter at ≈ 72k–117k copies, ≈ $396k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 525.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Logic (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Logic + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Game of Changes
2016
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut
$4.99
244 reviews
Mixed
Puzzle3D Platformer
Halver
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$9.99
96 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerLogic
Lightmatter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$396k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $721k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
LogicIndie
Hexologic
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42k–67k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPuzzle
I hate this game
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$42k–$112k after Steam's cut $76k–$172k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
Puzzle - LINES AND KNOTS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before Steam's cut
$9.99
261 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
The God Unit
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$9.99
94 reviews
Very Positive
LogicPuzzle
Sqroma
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$5.99
80 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.