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How many copies did Stickman Trenches sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 49k–80k
$81k–$219k after Steam's cut $148k–$336k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stickman Trenches and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stickman Trenches's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 935k–2.2M
best case 7.1M (World of Warships)
Games like Stickman Trenches

A typical game among these

≈ 935k–2.2M copies

≈ $6.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: World of Warships at ≈ 5.4M–8.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Naval Combat + Co-op. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Naval Combat + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Day of Infamy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 760k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIFPS
Holdfast: Nations At War
2020
Est. copies
≈ 734k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterFPS
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Verdun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterCo-op
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Isonzo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 429k–696k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$44.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericSimulation
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer

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