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How many copies did Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 110k–178k
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 393k–847k
best case 3.6M (OneShot)
Games like Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze

A typical game among these

≈ 393k–847k copies

≈ $2.2M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OneShot at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 621 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.4x vs typical
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OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Coffee Talk
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≈ 314k–510k
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ConversationPixel Graphics
BAD END THEATER
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≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Enigma of Fear
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≈ 257k–417k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
1.6x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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