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How many copies did Mighty Castles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mighty Castles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mighty Castles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–11k
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Mighty Castles

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–11k copies

≈ $9k–$51k after Steam's cut

from ~136 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42 reviews in their first month; the range was 28 to 647.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Zombies (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Open World + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Z Dawn
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$9.99
292 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
5023x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Cards of the Dead
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
$7.99
106 reviews
Mostly Positive
ControllerAction
Wanna Survive
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $52k–$119k before Steam's cut
$11.99
304 reviews
Very Positive
TacticalTurn-Based Strategy
First Day
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
136 reviews
Mixed
IndieSurvival
Atomic Cards
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$9.99
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalCard Battler
Apocalypse Love Shelter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$8.99
76 reviews
Mixed
Urban Strife
2026
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$166k–$447k after Steam's cut $302k–$687k before Steam's cut
$34.99
696 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessTurn-Based

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