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How many copies did BadTrip:Survival Horror Shooter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BadTrip:Survival Horror Shooter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BadTrip:Survival Horror Shooter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–4.9M
best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like BadTrip:Survival Horror Shooter

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–4.9M copies

≈ $32.4M–$107.6M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 93k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut $105.1M–$239.2M before Steam's cut
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Open WorldFPS
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$22.4M–$60.3M after Steam's cut $40.8M–$92.8M before Steam's cut
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Early AccessOpen World
Starfield
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Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
2.3x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
175k reviews
Mixed
SpaceSingleplayer
The Walking Dead: Season Two
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
34k reviews
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FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction RPG
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.6M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.8M before Steam's cut
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Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.6M–$50.0M after Steam's cut $33.8M–$77.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerStory Rich
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction

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