How much revenue did South of Midnight make?

$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did South of Midnight sell?

Q: How many copies did South of Midnight sell?

118k to 192k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 118k–192k; $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid South of Midnight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including South of Midnight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 119k–169k

best case 574k (Kena: Bridge of Spirits)

Games like South of Midnight

A typical game among these

≈ 119k–169k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kena: Bridge of Spirits at ≈ 437k–711k copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 906 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Exploration, priced around $29. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Cute + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rabi-Ribi 2016	Est. copies ≈ 511k–830k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeMetroidvania
Atlas Fallen: Reign Of Sand 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–186k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Momodora: Moonlit Farewell 2024	Est. copies ≈ 82k–133k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$16.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaAnime
Asterigos: Curse of the Stars 2022	Est. copies ≈ 87k–142k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $839k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	Female ProtagonistSouls-like
Epistory - Typing Chronicles 2016	Est. copies ≈ 284k–462k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	TypingAdventure
TEVI 2023	Est. copies ≈ 101k–164k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaAnime
Crown Trick 2020	Est. copies ≈ 134k–217k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022	Est. copies ≈ 437k–711k 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure