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How many copies did Vayan sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vayan and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vayan's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 560k–1.6M
best case 2.4M (TEKKEN 8)
Games like Vayan

A typical game among these

≈ 560k–1.6M copies

≈ $19.9M–$31.0M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: TEKKEN 8 at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (6 of 8) and e-sports (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + 3D Fighter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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