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How many copies did MORODASHI SUMO sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MORODASHI SUMO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MORODASHI SUMO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42k–72k
best case 522k (Goat Simulator 3)
Games like MORODASHI SUMO

A typical game among these

≈ 42k–72k copies

≈ $177k–$429k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Goat Simulator 3 at ≈ 398k–646k copies, ≈ $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 459 reviews in their first month; the range was 98 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (4 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Physics, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Exploration + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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PhysicsDifficult
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1.8x vs typical
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Goat Simulator 3
2024
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9.9x vs typical
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ActionPlatformer

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