How much revenue did Goat Simulator 3 make?

$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Goat Simulator 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Goat Simulator 3 sell?

398k to 646k copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 398k–646k; $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Goat Simulator 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Goat Simulator 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–13.8M

best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)

Games like Goat Simulator 3

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–13.8M copies

≈ $19.7M–$174.3M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (8 of 8) and Physics (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stormworks: Build and Rescue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	60k reviews Very Positive	SandboxBase-Building
SnowRunner 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	56k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAutomobile Sim
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Goat Simulator 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
Mon Bazou 2025	Est. copies ≈ 517k–840k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut	$15.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessAutomobile Sim