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How many copies did BBQ Simulator: The Squad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BBQ Simulator: The Squad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BBQ Simulator: The Squad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 70k–100k
best case 408k (Hello Kitty Island Adventure)
Games like BBQ Simulator: The Squad

A typical game among these

≈ 70k–100k copies

≈ $567k–$974k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hello Kitty Island Adventure at ≈ 311k–505k copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 866 reviews in their first month; the range was 252 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Life Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $29. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Multiplayer + Physics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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AdventureSimulation
Echoes of the Plum Grove
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STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town
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Est. copies
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Lemon Cake
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Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
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$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$876k before Steam's cut
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Kebab Chefs! - Restaurant Simulator
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Est. copies
≈ 202k–327k
3.1x vs typical
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Hello Kitty Island Adventure
2025
Est. copies
≈ 311k–505k
4.8x vs typical
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CozyOpen World
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≈ 61k–99k
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$267k–$718k after Steam's cut $486k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
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Mixed
SimulationTime Management

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.