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How many copies did Xion Leak sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 66 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Xion Leak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xion Leak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.5M–21.5M
best case 29.9M (Among Us)
Games like Xion Leak

A typical game among these

≈ 5.5M–21.5M copies

≈ $46.0M–$84.8M after Steam's cut

from ~210k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Social Deduction + Space, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rocket League®
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Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Stick Fight: The Game
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Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut
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Castle Crashers®
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≈ 8.9M–14.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
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2DOnline Co-Op
FIFA 22
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≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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120k reviews
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Brawlhalla
2017
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≈ 14.2M–23.1M
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Free to PlayMultiplayer
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
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Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
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It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.0M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
749k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction

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