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How many copies did Judero sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$213k before Steam's cut
from 420 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Judero and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Judero's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–7.2M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Judero

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–7.2M copies

≈ $36.2M–$127.8M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 906 to 70k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bastion
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackIndie
Chivalry 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.4M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
59k reviews
Mostly Positive
SwordplayMedieval
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Asterigos: Curse of the Stars
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$839k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Female ProtagonistSouls-like
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Kingdom Come: Deliverance II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–7.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$80.4M–$216.0M after Steam's cut $146.1M–$332.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
196k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMedieval

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