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How many copies did Blue Oak Bridge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
from 123 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blue Oak Bridge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blue Oak Bridge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 125k–648k
best case 835k (Sun Haven)
Games like Blue Oak Bridge

A typical game among these

≈ 125k–648k copies

≈ $1.3M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sun Haven at ≈ 636k–1.0M copies, ≈ $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 532 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (6 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.8x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.