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How many copies did Deterrence sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deterrence and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deterrence's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 706k–1.3M
best case 1.6M (Bloons TD Battles)
Games like Deterrence

A typical game among these

≈ 706k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.1M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bloons TD Battles at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (5 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Competitive.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$29.99
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Base-BuildingTower Defense
Craft The World
2014
Est. copies
≈ 961k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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DwarfColony Sim
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Est. copies
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Open World Survival CraftZombies
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≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$9.99
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Base-BuildingResource Management
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
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MilitaryCity Builder
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Est. copies
≈ 661k–1.1M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Real Time TacticsCity Builder
Bloons TD Battles
2016
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≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.5x vs typical
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Free
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Free to PlayTower Defense
Stronghold: Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
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City BuilderStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.